When PM Modi announced a total lockdown exactly a month ago, there were around 500 Covid-19 cases in India. The average daily growth in cases was 21.6% on March 24, which has since dropped to 8.1%. Had India continued to grow at 21.6%, the number of cases would have crossed 2 lakh by now.

from Times of India https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/without-lockdown-indias-cases-would-have-been-nearly-9x/articleshow/75369890.cms